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V-Lab

Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

5.63%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

5.68%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

5.82%

increased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0065
2.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9085
38.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0980
2.37**

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days