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V-Lab

Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4.24%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

4.43%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

4.99%

increased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0060
4.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8748
45.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1776
4.85***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days