Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
58.70%
decreased by 2.42%
1 Week
58.80%
decreased by 2.32%
1 Month
59.15%
decreased by 1.97%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4814 | 1.36 |
| αARCH | 0.1040 | 1.01 |
| βGARCH | 0.8290 | 11.57*** |
| γleverage | 0.0675 | 0.37 |
0.967
Persistence20d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4814 | 1.36 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1040 | 1.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8290 | 11.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0675 | 0.37 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
20 days
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