Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
46.20%
decreased by 3.31%
1 Week
47.27%
decreased by 2.24%
1 Month
50.60%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4788 | 1.32 |
| αARCH | 0.1097 | 1.02 |
| βGARCH | 0.8202 | 10.85*** |
| γleverage | 0.0757 | 0.39 |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4788 | 1.32 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1097 | 1.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8202 | 10.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0757 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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