V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
94.78%
decreased by 6.50%
1 Week
94.70%
decreased by 6.58%
1 Month
94.42%
decreased by 6.86%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 61-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3729 | 1.27 |
| αARCH | 0.1441 | 0.98 |
| βGARCH | 0.8213 | 11.53*** |
| γleverage | 0.0466 | 0.19 |
0.989
Persistence61d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3729 | 1.27 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1441 | 0.98 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8213 | 11.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0466 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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