V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
31.43%
increased by 3.51%
1 Week
31.72%
increased by 3.80%
1 Month
32.60%
increased by 4.68%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2022 | 2.39** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8826 | 45.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1512 | 3.59*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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