V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
33.62%
increased by 1.38%
1 Week
34.67%
increased by 2.43%
1 Month
37.50%
increased by 5.26%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3953 | 0.66 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8791 | 15.79*** |
| γleverage | 0.1328 | 0.83 |
0.946
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3953 | 0.66 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8791 | 15.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1328 | 0.83 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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