V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
43.68%
increased by 7.28%
1 Week
43.87%
increased by 7.47%
1 Month
44.38%
increased by 7.98%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4917 | 0.82 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8731 | 14.15*** |
| γleverage | 0.1330 | 0.85 |
0.940
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4917 | 0.82 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8731 | 14.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1330 | 0.85 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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