V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
28.46%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
29.71%
increased by 0.63%
1 Month
32.76%
increased by 3.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5312 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 1.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8467 | 8.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.2623 | 2.82*** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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