V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
55.35%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
55.22%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
54.69%
decreased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6355 | 0.19 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9922 | 0.06 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 94.0718 | 0.06 |
| γ2 | -157.1112 | -1.55 |
| γ3 | 121.3398 | 1.04 |
| γ4 | -79.9729 | -0.29 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
88 days
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