Canary Litecoin Etf Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
41.71%
decreased by 3.09%
1 Week
42.45%
decreased by 2.35%
1 Month
44.53%
decreased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4427 | 4.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.1442 | 1.84* |
| βGARCH | 0.8032 | 10.07*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9614 | 1.24 |
0.947
Persistence13d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4427 | 4.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1442 | 1.84* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8032 | 10.07*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9614 | 1.24 |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other Canary Litecoin Etf Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs