V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
38.31%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
38.46%
decreased by 0.57%
1 Month
38.80%
decreased by 0.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.5618 | 4.30*** |
| αARCH | 0.0880 | 1.34 |
| βGARCH | 0.8219 | 6.07*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.8365 | 2.97*** |
0.910
Persistence7d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5618 | 4.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0880 | 1.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8219 | 6.07*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.8365 | 2.97*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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