V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
167.95%
increased by 7.01%
1 Week
171.38%
increased by 10.44%
1 Month
177.76%
increased by 16.82%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8483 | 5.02*** |
| αARCH | 0.0604 | 0.91 |
| βGARCH | 0.8152 | 3.80*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.4985 | -0.88 |
0.876
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8483 | 5.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0604 | 0.91 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8152 | 3.80*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.4985 | -0.88 |
Persistence:
0.876
Half-life:
5 days
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