Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
160.09%
decreased by 1.47%
1 Week
161.35%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
164.59%
increased by 3.03%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9804 | 3.81*** |
| αARCH | 0.0254 | 0.51 |
| βGARCH | 0.9053 | 5.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1762 | -0.12 |
0.931
Persistence10d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9804 | 3.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0254 | 0.51 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9053 | 5.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1762 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs