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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

162.97%

decreased by 7.67%

1 Week

165.00%

decreased by 5.64%

1 Month

169.66%

decreased by 0.98%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. The volatility power δ = 1.00 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifeδ = 1.00 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.47
αARCH0.0592
1.20
βGARCH0.8619
8.22***
γleverage-0.4103
-0.55
δpower0.9989
0.88

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.47
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0592
1.20
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8619
8.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4103
-0.55
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9989
0.88

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days