V-Lab
John Hancock FD ALL C C ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
13.89%
increased by 2.67%
1 Week
14.08%
increased by 2.86%
1 Month
14.64%
increased by 3.42%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 2, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0452 | 8.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0318 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8902 | 81.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 0.00 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0228 | 8.90*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
Other John Hancock FD ALL C C ETF Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on ETFs