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V-Lab

State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

14.57%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

14.80%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

15.59%

increased by 0.81%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 1.16 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0329
30.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
29.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8948
286.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6509
22.61***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1610
35.98***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days