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V-Lab

John Hancock FD ALL C C ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

12.42%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

12.73%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

13.67%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of John Hancock FD ALL C C ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 2, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8899
107.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1492
24.08***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5767
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0568
0.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4062
0.04

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days