V-Lab
John Hancock FD ALL C C ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
12.42%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
12.73%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
13.67%
increased by 0.91%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 2, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8899 | 107.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1492 | 24.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5767 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0568 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4062 | 0.04 |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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