V-Lab
BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
43.91%
increased by 7.97%
1 Week
44.74%
increased by 8.80%
1 Month
47.31%
increased by 11.37%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8067 | 113.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2157 | 35.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0863 | 3.16*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0519 | 3.48*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9334 | 48.75*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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