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BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

56.30%

decreased by 4.66%

1 Week

54.60%

decreased by 6.36%

1 Month

49.96%

decreased by 11.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 01:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8089
40.19***
γleverage0.2142
10.15***
λ₁tau intercept0.0864
1.40
λ₂forecast adj.0.0501
1.54
λ₃tau persistence0.9350
22.78***

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8089
40.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2142
10.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0864
1.40
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0501
1.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9350
22.78***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days