V-Lab
BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
54.70%
increased by 5.72%
1 Week
53.41%
increased by 4.43%
1 Month
50.39%
increased by 1.41%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8067 | 112.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2143 | 35.57*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0878 | 3.13*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0527 | 3.42*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9322 | 47.14*** |
Persistence:
0.914
Half-life:
8 days
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