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V-Lab

BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

37.08%

increased by 0.80%

1 Week

38.05%

increased by 1.77%

1 Month

39.07%

increased by 2.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8081
39.97***
γleverage0.2146
10.11***
λ₁tau intercept0.0878
1.39
λ₂forecast adj.0.0506
1.54
λ₃tau persistence0.9341
22.37***

0.915

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8081
39.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2146
10.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0878
1.39
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0506
1.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9341
22.37***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days