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V-Lab

BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

43.91%

increased by 7.97%

1 Week

44.74%

increased by 8.80%

1 Month

47.31%

increased by 11.37%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8067
113.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2157
35.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0863
3.16***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0519
3.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9334
48.75***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days