V-Lab
BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
30.58%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
32.26%
increased by 0.88%
1 Month
36.02%
increased by 4.64%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 09:15 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 36 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8103 | 40.83*** |
| γleverage | 0.2134 | 10.17*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.1026 | 1.23 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0586 | 1.32 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9236 | 16.34*** |
0.917
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8103 | 40.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2134 | 10.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1026 | 1.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0586 | 1.32 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9236 | 16.34*** |
Persistence:
0.917
Half-life:
8 days
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