V-Lab
Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
6.60%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
6.47%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
5.37%
decreased by 1.25%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2590 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3236 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0453 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.259
Half-life:
1 days
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