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V-Lab

Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

14.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

14.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

14.46%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9645
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8286
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0007
0.00

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days