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V-Lab

Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

10.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

10.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

10.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.92 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4448
0.11
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9880
1.18
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

13.9221
0.01

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days