V-Lab
Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
10.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
10.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
10.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.92 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4448 | 0.11 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9880 | 1.18 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 13.9221 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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