V-Lab
Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
10.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
10.79%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 15.07 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4619 | 0.48 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9891 | 0.50 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 15.0673 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
63 days
Other Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF High Dividend ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs