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BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

28.50%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

29.21%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

31.65%

increased by 1.63%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.67 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 47-day half-lifev = 6.67 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.8034
1.15
αARCH0.1051
6.31***
βGARCH0.9852
70.61***
νDF6.6713
1.43

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.8034
1.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1051
6.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9852
70.61***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6713
1.43

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days