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BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

45.42%

decreased by 3.93%

1 Week

45.46%

decreased by 3.89%

1 Month

45.63%

decreased by 3.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 01:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 45-day half-lifev = 6.96 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run8.8085
1.21
αscore0.1063
6.30***
βpersistence0.9849
72.40***
νDF6.9599
1.36

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

8.8085
1.21
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1063
6.30***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9849
72.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.9599
1.36

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days