V-Lab
BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
42.91%
increased by 4.03%
1 Week
43.05%
increased by 4.17%
1 Month
43.54%
increased by 4.66%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 8.9275 | 4.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1051 | 25.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9855 | 284.34*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.6623 | 5.76*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
Other BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs