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BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

42.91%

increased by 4.03%

1 Week

43.05%

increased by 4.17%

1 Month

43.54%

increased by 4.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of BetaPro NASDAQ-100 2x Daily Bull ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.9275
4.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1051
25.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9855
284.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6623
5.76***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days