Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Ishares S&P 500 EX S&P 1 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

12.66%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

12.58%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

12.56%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ishares S&P 500 EX S&P 1 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6259
7.14***
αARCH0.0397
0.14
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
νDF18.9504
0.01

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6259
7.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0397
0.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

18.9504
0.01

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-