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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

150.86%

increased by 10.65%

1 Week

153.23%

increased by 13.02%

1 Month

158.63%

increased by 18.42%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 18.39 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 18.39 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst108.0949
2.08**
αARCH0.0694
0.35
βGARCH0.9120
6.15***
νDF18.3904
0.03

0.912

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

108.0949
2.08**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
0.35
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9120
6.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

18.3904
0.03

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days