Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
173.41%
increased by 6.61%
1 Week
172.52%
increased by 5.72%
1 Month
170.19%
increased by 3.39%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 7.16 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 110.7004 | 0.53 |
| αscore | 0.0326 | 0.16 |
| βpersistence | 0.9315 | 3.82*** |
| νDF | 7.1557 | 0.03 |
0.932
Persistence10d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 110.7004 | 0.53 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0326 | 0.16 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9315 | 3.82*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.1557 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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