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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

172.36%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Week

172.44%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

172.66%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 72.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

118.7831
20.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0365
0.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9344
17.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

72.2028
0.01

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days