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Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

172.25%

decreased by 7.85%

1 Week

171.03%

decreased by 9.07%

1 Month

168.00%

decreased by 12.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 22.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 22.15 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst106.2804
2.39**
αARCH0.0631
0.34
βGARCH0.9219
7.39***
νDF22.1477
0.02

0.922

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

106.2804
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0631
0.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9219
7.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

22.1477
0.02

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days