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Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

149.21%

increased by 4.11%

1 Week

152.18%

increased by 7.08%

1 Month

159.20%

increased by 14.10%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 6.18 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst112.4643
0.57
αARCH0.0547
0.27
βGARCH0.9203
2.74***
νDF6.1790
0.07

0.920

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

112.4643
0.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
0.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9203
2.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1790
0.07

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days