Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

173.41%

increased by 6.61%

1 Week

172.52%

increased by 5.72%

1 Month

170.19%

increased by 3.39%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 7.16 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run110.7004
0.53
αscore0.0326
0.16
βpersistence0.9315
3.82***
νDF7.1557
0.03

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

110.7004
0.53
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0326
0.16
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9315
3.82***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.1557
0.03

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days