V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
172.36%
decreased by 1.05%
1 Week
172.44%
decreased by 0.97%
1 Month
172.66%
decreased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 72.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 118.7831 | 20.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0365 | 0.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9344 | 17.81*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 72.2028 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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