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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

153.10%

decreased by 4.24%

1 Week

154.71%

decreased by 2.63%

1 Month

158.72%

increased by 1.38%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.61 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 8.61 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst107.5378
0.97
αARCH0.0451
0.27
βGARCH0.9274
4.67***
νDF8.6056
0.05

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

107.5378
0.97
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0451
0.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9274
4.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.6056
0.05

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days