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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

147.03%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

143.66%

decreased by 3.83%

1 Month

136.74%

decreased by 10.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 95% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.04 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2173
10.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7143
24.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3095
-9.91***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0439
3.59***

Persistence:

0.889

Half-life:

6 days