V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
147.03%
1 Week
143.66%
1 Month
136.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 95% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.04 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 1.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2173 | 10.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7143 | 24.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3095 | -9.91*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.0439 | 3.59*** |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on ETFs