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V-Lab

Global X Active Global Fixed Income ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

8.61%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

8.95%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

10.13%

increased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Global X Active Global Fixed Income ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 21, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 17% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.35 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0218
11.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1242
17.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8745
129.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0584
2.56**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3488
14.19***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days