V-Lab
T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
177.37%
decreased by 50.99%
1 Week
167.47%
decreased by 60.89%
1 Month
159.13%
decreased by 69.23%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9789 | 2.39** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4333 | 18.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3317 | 9.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0940 | 4.39*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 2.90*** |
Persistence:
0.688
Half-life:
2 days
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