T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
215.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
215.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
215.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3864 | 4.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9122 | 3.17*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -166.2314 | -1.63 |
| γ2 | 217.6773 | 1.38 |
| γ3 | -55.8835 | -0.79 |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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