V-Lab
SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
103.87%
decreased by 3.47%
1 Week
103.38%
decreased by 3.96%
1 Month
102.70%
decreased by 4.64%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9875 | 4.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0508 | 0.89 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7550 | 2.89*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.2971 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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