V-Lab
SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
95.38%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
96.25%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
97.87%
increased by 1.74%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8482 | 38.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0474 | 1.35 |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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