V-Lab
SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
116.96%
decreased by 16.74%
1 Week
117.23%
decreased by 16.47%
1 Month
117.49%
decreased by 16.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 54.8703 | 7.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1281 | 2.47** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7140 | 14.74*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.1443 | 0.69 |
Persistence:
0.714
Half-life:
2 days
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