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V-Lab

SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

116.96%

decreased by 16.74%

1 Week

117.23%

decreased by 16.47%

1 Month

117.49%

decreased by 16.21%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

54.8703
7.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1281
2.47**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7140
14.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1443
0.69

Persistence:

0.714

Half-life:

2 days