V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
192.06%
increased by 6.42%
1 Week
198.78%
increased by 13.14%
1 Month
201.53%
increased by 15.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 162.5768 | 12.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1087 | 1.45 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4495 | 4.13*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 9.1770 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.450
Half-life:
1 days
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