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Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

153.33%

increased by 2.57%

1 Week

165.92%

increased by 15.16%

1 Month

182.65%

increased by 31.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 7.90 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst146.0338
1.76*
αARCH0.1142
0.60
βGARCH0.8188
6.46***
νDF7.8952
0.15

0.819

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

146.0338
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1142
0.60
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8188
6.46***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.8952
0.15

Persistence:

0.819

Half-life:

3 days