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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

178.46%

decreased by 2.41%

1 Week

191.16%

increased by 10.29%

1 Month

196.13%

increased by 15.26%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.80 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-lifev = 9.80 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst155.0855
3.40***
αARCH0.1038
0.36
βGARCH0.4395
0.99
νDF9.8025
0.06

0.440

Persistence

1d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

155.0855
3.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1038
0.36
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4395
0.99
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.8025
0.06

Persistence:

0.440

Half-life:

1 days