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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

315.62%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Week

297.96%

decreased by 20.33%

1 Month

255.48%

decreased by 62.81%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.80 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 8.80 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run161.0697
1.38
αscore0.1431
0.80
βpersistence0.8991
13.30***
νDF8.7985
0.19

0.899

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

161.0697
1.38
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1431
0.80
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8991
13.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.7985
0.19

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days