V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
153.33%
increased by 2.57%
1 Week
165.92%
increased by 15.16%
1 Month
182.65%
increased by 31.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 7.90 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 146.0338 | 1.76* |
| αARCH | 0.1142 | 0.60 |
| βGARCH | 0.8188 | 6.46*** |
| νDF | 7.8952 | 0.15 |
0.819
Persistence3d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 146.0338 | 1.76* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1142 | 0.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8188 | 6.46*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.8952 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.819
Half-life:
3 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs