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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

192.06%

increased by 6.42%

1 Week

198.78%

increased by 13.14%

1 Month

201.53%

increased by 15.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

162.5768
12.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1087
1.45
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4495
4.13***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.1770
0.26

Persistence:

0.450

Half-life:

1 days