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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

158.25%

decreased by 11.96%

1 Week

164.01%

decreased by 6.20%

1 Month

176.56%

increased by 6.35%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 7.56 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst143.9983
1.12
αARCH0.1134
0.74
βGARCH0.9096
13.94***
νDF7.5581
0.20

0.910

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

143.9983
1.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1134
0.74
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9096
13.94***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.5581
0.20

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days