V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
177.25%
decreased by 2.56%
1 Week
184.46%
increased by 4.65%
1 Month
188.02%
increased by 8.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0741 | 6.70*** |
| αARCH | 0.0792 | 0.81 |
| βGARCH | 0.4445 | 0.55 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.4172 | 0.50 |
0.524
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0741 | 6.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0792 | 0.81 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4445 | 0.55 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.4172 | 0.50 |
Persistence:
0.524
Half-life:
1 days
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