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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

272.95%

decreased by 10.17%

1 Week

249.24%

decreased by 33.88%

1 Month

207.15%

decreased by 75.97%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2296
6.07***
αARCH0.1335
1.79*
βGARCH0.6997
3.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.6748
1.20

0.833

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2296
6.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1335
1.79*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6997
3.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.6748
1.20

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days