V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
151.09%
increased by 0.72%
1 Week
157.73%
increased by 7.36%
1 Month
165.76%
increased by 15.39%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1965 | 6.73*** |
| αARCH | 0.0755 | 1.24 |
| βGARCH | 0.7131 | 2.27** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9142 | 1.29 |
0.789
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1965 | 6.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0755 | 1.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7131 | 2.27** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.9142 | 1.29 |
Persistence:
0.789
Half-life:
3 days
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