Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
149.42%
decreased by 5.28%
1 Week
151.73%
decreased by 2.97%
1 Month
155.71%
increased by 1.01%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2950 | 6.73*** |
| αARCH | 0.0744 | 1.50 |
| βGARCH | 0.7847 | 4.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.1145 | 1.91* |
0.859
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2950 | 6.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0744 | 1.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7847 | 4.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.1145 | 1.91* |
Persistence:
0.859
Half-life:
5 days
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