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Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

1.32%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

1.33%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

1.34%

increased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2765
7.81***
αARCH0.0404
0.86
βGARCH0.7970
3.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0870
2.27**

0.837

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2765
7.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0404
0.86
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7970
3.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0870
2.27**

Persistence:

0.837

Half-life:

4 days