V-Lab
Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
1.33%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
1.34%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.34%
decreased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2832 | 7.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0566 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7175 | 2.45** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1028 | 2.31** |
Persistence:
0.774
Half-life:
3 days
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