V-Lab
Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
1.68%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
1.65%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
1.59%
decreased by 0.19%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0019 | 1.19 |
| αARCH | 0.0711 | 0.69 |
| βGARCH | 0.7234 | 3.25*** |
| γleverage | 0.0216 | 0.21 |
0.805
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0019 | 1.19 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0711 | 0.69 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7234 | 3.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0216 | 0.21 |
Persistence:
0.805
Half-life:
3 days
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