Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
1.46%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.46%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
1.46%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 162 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 1.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9838 | 370.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0238 | 3.50*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
162 days
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