Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
1.46%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
1.50%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.54%
increased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0021 | 1.28 |
| αARCH | 0.0730 | 0.67 |
| βGARCH | 0.6941 | 3.02*** |
| γleverage | 0.0320 | 0.29 |
0.783
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0021 | 1.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0730 | 0.67 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6941 | 3.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0320 | 0.29 |
Persistence:
0.783
Half-life:
3 days
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