Skip to main content
V-Lab

Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

1.43%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.43%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

1.43%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 2.72 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
1.43
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0014
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9860
330.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
δ

power

Transformation power

2.7168
11.48***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days