V-Lab
Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
1.47%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
1.52%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
1.57%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.03) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0025 | 6.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1125 | 4.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6283 | 11.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0272 | 1.97** |
Persistence:
0.741
Half-life:
2 days
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