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Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

1.65%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

1.65%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

1.64%

decreased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.58 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-lifev = 6.58 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0098
0.81
αARCH0.0388
2.02**
βGARCH0.9833
40.43***
νDF6.5813
0.31

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0098
0.81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0388
2.02**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9833
40.43***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5813
0.31

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days