Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
1.57%
increased by 0.03%
1 Week
1.56%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.56%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:20 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-lifev = 7.15 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 0.0100 | 0.74 |
| αscore | 0.0350 | 1.43 |
| βpersistence | 0.9808 | 28.77*** |
| νDF | 7.1471 | 0.19 |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 0.0100 | 0.74 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0350 | 1.43 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9808 | 28.77*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.1471 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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