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V-Lab

Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

1.47%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

1.47%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

1.48%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0098
3.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0408
8.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9845
184.98***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6650
1.32

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days