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Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

1.48%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.48%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

1.49%

increased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-lifev = 6.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0096
0.79
αARCH0.0379
1.89*
βGARCH0.9829
38.22***
νDF6.6530
0.28

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0096
0.79
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0379
1.89*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9829
38.22***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6530
0.28

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days