V-Lab
Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
1.47%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
1.47%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.48%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 14, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0098 | 3.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0408 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9845 | 184.98*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.6650 | 1.32 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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