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V-Lab

Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

1.33%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

1.34%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

1.37%

increased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wisdomtree 1-3 YR Ladd TR FD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-lifev = 6.71 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0095
0.83
αARCH0.0403
2.21**
βGARCH0.9840
42.40***
νDF6.7148
0.32

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0095
0.83
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0403
2.21**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9840
42.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.7148
0.32

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days