V-Lab
KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
29.75%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
29.83%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
30.10%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.49 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8479 | 6.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0760 | 6.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9707 | 210.55*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 9.4877 | 1.10 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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