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V-Lab

KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

29.75%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

29.83%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

30.10%

increased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.49 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8479
6.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0760
6.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9707
210.55***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.4877
1.10

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days