V-Lab
KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
28.23%
decreased by 0.78%
1 Week
28.38%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Month
28.90%
decreased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-lifev = 10.34 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.7788 | 1.81* |
| αARCH | 0.0748 | 1.75* |
| βGARCH | 0.9705 | 54.70*** |
| νDF | 10.3447 | 0.25 |
0.970
Persistence23d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7788 | 1.81* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0748 | 1.75* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9705 | 54.70*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 10.3447 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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