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V-Lab

KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

40.79%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Week

40.49%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Month

39.44%

decreased by 2.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4363
4.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0811
6.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9773
244.70***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.1352
1.23

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days