V-Lab
KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
34.69%
increased by 2.15%
1 Week
35.76%
increased by 3.22%
1 Month
37.05%
increased by 4.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5172 | 19.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2050 | 9.31*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4797 | 0.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5430 | 4.04*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3688 | 1.03 |
Persistence:
0.620
Half-life:
1 days
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