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V-Lab

KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

34.69%

increased by 2.15%

1 Week

35.76%

increased by 3.22%

1 Month

37.05%

increased by 4.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5172
19.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2050
9.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4797
0.47
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5430
4.04***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3688
1.03

Persistence:

0.620

Half-life:

1 days