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V-Lab

KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

28.78%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

30.03%

increased by 0.88%

1 Month

30.94%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.6333
7.37***
γleverage0.1471
3.87***
λ₁tau intercept0.7042
3.75***
λ₂forecast adj.0.6535
6.85***
λ₃tau persistence0.1662
1.39

0.707

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6333
7.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1471
3.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7042
3.75***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6535
6.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1662
1.39

Persistence:

0.707

Half-life:

2 days