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KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

27.80%

decreased by 2.16%

1 Week

27.58%

decreased by 2.38%

1 Month

27.13%

decreased by 2.83%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 12:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.6248
8.29***
γleverage0.1747
3.92***
λ₁tau intercept0.1311
1.88*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0995
3.06***
λ₃tau persistence0.8624
22.26***

0.712

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6248
8.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1747
3.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1311
1.88*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0995
3.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8624
22.26***

Persistence:

0.712

Half-life:

2 days