V-Lab
KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
32.96%
decreased by 1.75%
1 Week
33.59%
decreased by 1.12%
1 Month
34.16%
decreased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6131 | 21.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1581 | 8.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5577 | 0.92 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7014 | 3.69*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1922 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.692
Half-life:
2 days
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