KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
59.45%
increased by 0.78%
1 Week
58.51%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Month
55.21%
decreased by 3.46%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9840 | 3.35*** |
| αARCH | 0.1023 | 3.20*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8717 | 23.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0538 | -0.48 |
0.974
Persistence26d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9840 | 3.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1023 | 3.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8717 | 23.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0538 | -0.48 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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