V-Lab
KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
29.42%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
29.54%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
29.92%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9836 | 3.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0906 | 2.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8757 | 21.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0195 | -0.16 |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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