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KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

59.45%

increased by 0.78%

1 Week

58.51%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

55.21%

decreased by 3.46%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9840
3.35***
αARCH0.1023
3.20***
βGARCH0.8717
23.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0538
-0.48

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9840
3.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1023
3.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8717
23.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0538
-0.48

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days