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KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

25.73%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

26.07%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

27.11%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 12:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9877
4.13***
αARCH0.0878
2.71***
βGARCH0.8770
21.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0096
-0.10

0.965

Persistence

19d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9877
4.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0878
2.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8770
21.60***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0096
-0.10

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days