V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
94.38%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
97.22%
increased by 1.80%
1 Month
101.01%
increased by 5.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1580 | 5.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.0539 | 0.56 |
| βGARCH | 0.7533 | 2.11** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.6830 | 0.80 |
0.807
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1580 | 5.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0539 | 0.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7533 | 2.11** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.6830 | 0.80 |
Persistence:
0.807
Half-life:
3 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs