V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
66.07%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
66.75%
increased by 0.54%
1 Month
66.89%
increased by 0.68%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7226 | 4.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.0302 | 0.31 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -45.1457 | -1.36 |
| γ2 | 73.3519 | 1.46 |
| γ3 | -66.3520 | -2.21** |
| γ4 | 60.6469 | 3.29*** |
0.030
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7226 | 4.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0302 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -45.1457 | -1.36 |
| γ2 | 73.3519 | 1.46 |
| γ3 | -66.3520 | -2.21** |
| γ4 | 60.6469 | 3.29*** |
Persistence:
0.030
Half-life:
0 days
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