Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
89.80%
decreased by 1.95%
1 Week
90.50%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Month
91.82%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2909 | 5.83*** |
| αARCH | 0.0495 | 0.70 |
| βGARCH | 0.8277 | 4.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.8956 | 1.74* |
0.877
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2909 | 5.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0495 | 0.70 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8277 | 4.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.8956 | 1.74* |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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