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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

97.22%

decreased by 2.10%

1 Week

98.02%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Month

100.42%

increased by 1.10%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 6.33 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst45.1985
0.66
αARCH0.0375
0.62
βGARCH0.9580
11.15***
νDF6.3323
0.10

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

45.1985
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0375
0.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9580
11.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.3323
0.10

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days