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Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

175.45%

decreased by 5.20%

1 Week

183.66%

increased by 3.01%

1 Month

202.11%

increased by 21.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst199.6633
2.46**
αARCH0.1020
0.59
βGARCH0.9181
12.35***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.918

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

199.6633
2.46**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1020
0.59
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9181
12.35***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days