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Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

174.43%

increased by 2.32%

1 Week

179.80%

increased by 7.69%

1 Month

194.63%

increased by 22.52%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst200.7257
2.05**
αARCH0.1153
0.85
βGARCH0.9504
20.70***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.950

Persistence

14d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

200.7257
2.05**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1153
0.85
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9504
20.70***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

14 days