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Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

298.20%

decreased by 19.21%

1 Week

292.37%

decreased by 25.04%

1 Month

275.71%

decreased by 41.70%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 14.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 14.56 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run231.8041
0.92
αscore0.1177
0.79
βpersistence0.9406
10.17***
νDF14.5605
0.08

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

231.8041
0.92
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1177
0.79
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9406
10.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

14.5605
0.08

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days