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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

197.82%

decreased by 8.24%

1 Week

204.50%

decreased by 1.56%

1 Month

217.93%

increased by 11.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst211.1717
2.22**
αARCH0.1037
0.44
βGARCH0.8939
8.85***
νDF200.0000
0.00

0.894

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

211.1717
2.22**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
0.44
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8939
8.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days