Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
298.20%
decreased by 19.21%
1 Week
292.37%
decreased by 25.04%
1 Month
275.71%
decreased by 41.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 14.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 14.56 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 231.8041 | 0.92 |
| αscore | 0.1177 | 0.79 |
| βpersistence | 0.9406 | 10.17*** |
| νDF | 14.5605 | 0.08 |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 231.8041 | 0.92 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1177 | 0.79 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9406 | 10.17*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 14.5605 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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