V-Lab
Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
197.82%
decreased by 8.24%
1 Week
204.50%
decreased by 1.56%
1 Month
217.93%
increased by 11.87%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 211.1717 | 2.22** |
| αARCH | 0.1037 | 0.44 |
| βGARCH | 0.8939 | 8.85*** |
| νDF | 200.0000 | 0.00 |
0.894
Persistence6d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 211.1717 | 2.22** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1037 | 0.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8939 | 8.85*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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