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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

250.56%

decreased by 8.83%

1 Week

249.55%

decreased by 9.84%

1 Month

246.70%

decreased by 12.69%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

230.3484
6.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0723
1.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9436
39.78***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days