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SEI Select Small CAP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

17.42%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

17.79%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

18.78%

increased by 1.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

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graph of SEI Select Small CAP ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.67 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 5.67 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6669
0.87
αARCH0.0378
0.75
βGARCH0.9405
16.65***
νDF5.6728
0.13

0.940

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6669
0.87
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0378
0.75
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9405
16.65***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6728
0.13

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days