SEI Select Small CAP ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
17.37%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
17.76%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
18.73%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8724 | 82.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1156 | 13.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4196 | 0.35 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7399 | 1.12 |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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