V-Lab
SEI Select Small CAP ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
17.19%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
17.61%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
18.63%
increased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8722 | 78.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1140 | 14.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4130 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7429 | 0.57 |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
Other SEI Select Small CAP ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs