Skip to main content
V-Lab

SEI Select Small CAP ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

17.19%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

17.61%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

18.63%

increased by 1.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of SEI Select Small CAP ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8722
78.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1140
14.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4130
0.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7429
0.57

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days