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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

94.66%

decreased by 9.66%

1 Week

101.70%

decreased by 2.62%

1 Month

121.37%

increased by 17.05%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0069
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7095
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2535
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4705
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4232
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0672

Persistence:

0.843

Half-life:

4 days