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V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

358.44%

decreased by 49.22%

1 Week

450.66%

increased by 43.00%

1 Month

1,552.12%

increased by 1,144.46%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 343 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~343 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.09
βGARCH0.7504
245.79***
γleverage0.4951
71.04***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
160.31***
λ₂forecast adj.1.0000
48.07***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.01

0.998

Persistence

343d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.09
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7504
245.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4951
71.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
160.31***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
48.07***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

343 days