V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
94.66%
decreased by 9.66%
1 Week
101.70%
decreased by 2.62%
1 Month
121.37%
increased by 17.05%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0069 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7095 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2535 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4705 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4232 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0672 |
Persistence:
0.843
Half-life:
4 days
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