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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

129.13%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

131.27%

increased by 2.14%

1 Month

131.69%

increased by 2.56%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0809
10.26***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage-0.0809
-27.31***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.24
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.8550
10.02***

0.040

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0809
10.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0809
-27.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8550
10.02***

Persistence:

0.040

Half-life:

0 days