V-Lab
Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
65.17%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
70.00%
increased by 4.92%
1 Month
77.78%
increased by 12.70%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1692 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0009 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1406 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.9959 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9971 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0029 | 219.38*** |
Persistence:
0.100
Half-life:
0 days
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