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V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

65.17%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

70.00%

increased by 4.92%

1 Month

77.78%

increased by 12.70%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1692
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0009
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1406
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9959
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9971
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0029
219.38***

Persistence:

0.100

Half-life:

0 days