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V-Lab
V-Lab

First Eagle US Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

22.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

22.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

22.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of First Eagle US Equity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0000
0.00
λ₁tau intercept2.0445
42.98***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.000

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.0445
42.98***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

0 days