V-Lab
First Eagle US Equity ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
12.25%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
12.25%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
12.25%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5953 | 1.79* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0370 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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