V-Lab
Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
31.19%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Week
32.94%
increased by 1.27%
1 Month
34.02%
increased by 2.35%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8485 | 13.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1262 | 4.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4797 | 25.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1008 | -0.37 |
Persistence:
0.606
Half-life:
1 days
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