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V-Lab

Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

35.75%

decreased by 2.78%

1 Week

38.04%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Month

45.49%

increased by 6.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.82 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

32.1252
3.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1941
6.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9874
301.14***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.8214
0.82

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days