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V-Lab

MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

24.29%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

24.29%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

24.29%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 4, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3419
0.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7449
0.42
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4768
0.26

Persistence:

0.745

Half-life:

2 days