V-Lab
MD Sass Concentrated Value ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
18.33%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
18.33%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
18.33%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3888 | 7.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7084 | 26.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -2.2541 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.708
Half-life:
2 days
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