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V-Lab

Calamos Autocallable INM ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

13.53%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

12.94%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Month

12.43%

decreased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Calamos Autocallable INM ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.42) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0364
0.56
αARCH0.0743
3.62***
βGARCH0.6099
4.49***
γleverage1.4247
4.95***

0.684

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0364
0.56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0743
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6099
4.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.4247
4.95***

Persistence:

0.684

Half-life:

2 days