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V-Lab

Calamos Autocallable INM ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

11.51%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

11.66%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

11.79%

increased by 0.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Calamos Autocallable INM ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5565
4.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0245
0.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6751
1.13
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.2847
0.05

Persistence:

0.675

Half-life:

2 days