V-Lab
Calamos Autocallable INM ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.98%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
5.43%
increased by 0.33%
1 Month
5.67%
increased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0555 | 1.46 |
| αARCH | 0.2462 | 1.16 |
| βGARCH | 0.3321 | 1.49 |
0.578
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0555 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2462 | 1.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3321 | 1.49 |
Persistence:
0.578
Half-life:
1 days
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