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V-Lab

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

6.81%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

6.97%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

7.54%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0067
6.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1357
30.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8524
245.93***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days