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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

15.92%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

16.16%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

17.03%

increased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 69 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0255
7.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1124
30.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8776
302.32***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days