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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

14.54%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

14.87%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

16.01%

increased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 251% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0314
19.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0362
13.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9041
394.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0910
15.93***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days