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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

13.48%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

13.86%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

15.18%

increased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 258% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0314
19.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0357
13.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9040
395.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0923
16.24***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days