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iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

17.12%

increased by 1.49%

1 Week

17.33%

increased by 1.70%

1 Month

18.08%

increased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 261% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 261% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0311
4.78***
αARCH0.0352
3.37***
βGARCH0.9047
99.31***
γleverage0.0919
4.07***

0.986

Persistence

49d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0311
4.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0352
3.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9047
99.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0919
4.07***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days